Written by: Karthik Reddy
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Hobart Hurricanes will face Melbourne Stars in the Knockout of the Big Bash League 2025-26 on January 21, 2026, at Ninja Stadium (Bellerive Oval) in Hobart. This is a do-or-die clash – the winner advances to The Challenger on January 23, while the loser’s season is over.

Both teams have quality players in their squads. Hobart Hurricanes feature stars like Ben McDermott, Mitch Owen, and Beau Webster. Melbourne Stars rely on Sam Harper, Marcus Stoinis, and Glenn Maxwell to deliver match-winning performances. This match promises to be a blockbuster knockout encounter.

This article gives you a detailed Dream11 prediction, match details, head-to-head records, and key players for this BBL Knockout clash.

Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars Knockout Preview

Ninja Stadium (Bellerive Oval) in Hobart will host The Knockout of BBL|15. The game starts at 7:30 PM AEDT (2:00 PM IST).

HUR vs STA Knockout Dream11 Prediction
Source: ESPN Cricinfo
DetailsInformation
MatchHobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars, The Knockout
Date21 January 2026
Time7:30 PM AEDT / 2:00 PM IST
VenueNinja Stadium (Bellerive Oval), Hobart
SeriesKFC Big Bash League 2025-26

Stakes: This is sudden death – loser goes home! The winner advances to The Challenger on January 23 against the loser of The Qualifier (Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers).

Hobart Hurricanes finished 3rd on the points table with 6 wins from 10 matches (13 points). Melbourne Stars finished 4th with 6 wins from 10 matches (12 points). Hurricanes are defending champions (won BBL|14) while Stars are still searching for their maiden BBL title despite 10 finals appearances and 3 finals losses.

Pitch Report

AspectDetails
Pitch TypeBatting-friendly, pace, and bounce
Average Score~182 runs (BBL 2025-26 at this venue)
FavorsBatters once set, pacers early witha  new ball
SurfaceGood pace and bounce, flattens as the game progresses
BoundariesShortest 62-64m, longest 75-78m
Toss FactorTeams bowling first have had better results this season

Ninja Stadium (Bellerive Oval) has a reputation for helping pace bowlers early on with movement and bounce. However, once batters settle in, batting becomes progressively easier. Five games have been played at this venue in BBL 2025-26 with an average first-innings total of around 182. Three out of five matches were won by teams batting first, but the toss-winner may prefer to bowl to know the target.

Weather Report

ConditionDetails
Temperature16-20°C
HumidityModerate (~60-65%)
Wind SpeedLight to moderate breeze
Rain ChanceNo chance of rain
OverallClear evening conditions expected

Toss Prediction

Winning the toss could be important. Given recent trends at this venue, the captain winning the toss is likely to choose to bowl first to know the target.

Injury Updates

Hobart Hurricanes: Nathan Ellis- MAJOR BLOW! Captain ruled out of The Knockout due to injury sustained vs Brisbane Heat. Extent of injury not specified. His availability for the remainder of finals (if Hurricanes progress) will be determined over the coming days. Also rested for the T20I series vs Pakistan – doubts over T20 World Cup fitness. Rehan Ahmed, England leg-spinner, left the BBL to join England’s World Cup squad for the preparatory series in Sri Lanka. Featured in every regular-season match. Jake Weatherald will not participate in the Hurricanes’ finals campaign, prioritising red-ball cricket with Tasmania. Jackson Bird was recalled to replace Ellis. Charlie Wakim was recalled to the squad. Ben McDermott Will captain in Ellis’ absence.

Melbourne Stars: Unchanged squad. The Stars will field an unchanged lineup.

Dream11 Team For HUR vs STA

Dream11 Team For HUR vs STA

HUR vs STA Head-to-Head Records

Hobart Hurricanes and Melbourne Stars have a storied rivalry in BBL history, with the Stars dominating overall.

CategoryStats
Total BBL Matches24
Melbourne Stars Wins16
Hobart Hurricanes Wins8

Melbourne Stars lead the head-to-head convincingly with 16 wins. Stars have won the last 2 meetings, including an 8-wicket victory earlier this season (December 18, 2025), where Stoinis was Player of the Match (62* off 31 & 2/18).

Last Five Meetings

  • Stars won by 8 wickets (with 24 balls remaining) 18-Dec-2025
  • Stars won by 40 runs, 19-Jan-2025
  • Hurricanes won by 7 runs, 15-Jan-2024
  • Stars won by 7 wickets (with 3 balls remaining) (DLS method) 28-Dec-2023
  • Hurricanes won by 2 wickets (with 14 balls remaining) 09-Jan-2023

Suggested Reads:

Top Picks For The Match

PlayerReason
Sam Harper (STA)BBL’s leading run-scorer – 371 runs at avg 61.83 with 1 century, sensational form
Marcus Stoinis (STA)Big-match player, 62* & 2/18 in earlier win vs HUR, barely dismissed vs this team
Glenn Maxwell (STA)Built for big moments, 154no vs HUR in BBL
Peter Siddle (STA)41-year-old with 16 wickets at avg 15.81, experience in pressure moments
Mitch Owen (HUR)146 runs at SR 200, loves Ninja Stadium, finals specialist who powered title win last year
About the Author

As the editor of TheCricketPanda, Karthik Reddy combines his extensive knowledge of fantasy cricket with a deep passion for the sport to deliver precise predictions and strategic advice. With over 4 years of experience in analyzing IPL and international cricket matches, he has become a trusted name among fantasy sports enthusiasts. Karthik’s keen eye for detail, backed by data-driven insights and a thorough understanding of player performance and match dynamics, has helped fans make informed decisions in their fantasy leagues.

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